Armstrong states that the purpose of the wager is:
- ...really to promote the proper use of science, rather than the opinion-led science we have seen lately
- ...Gore says there are scientific forecasts that the Earth will become warmer very rapidly. But I have not found a scientific forecast that supports that view. There are forecasts made by scientists, of course, but they are very different from a scientific forecast'....
- What we have is climate forecasters effectively translating their own opinions into maths...Their claims are not built on clear and thorough scientific forecasts but on their own outlooks.
Flash forward 20 years. Bjorn Lomborg validates all of Simon's claims about resources, the lack of limits and the positive role of technology in minimizing human impact on the environment. And what do we teach in schools? in college curricula? in the media? yet still more alarmism, doom and gloom and potential disaster, this time based on the "scientific" evidence of forecasts that temperatures will rise drastically in the upcoming years. Well that should be a pretty easy wager to settle. Just like for Simon and Ehrlich.
So the only real question is: when the green ideologues lose this bet, what will they replace global warming with as the next great environmental doomsday narrative?